Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.000995 0.001033 0.001072 0.001115 0.001160 0.001207 0.001259
2025-09-21 0.000919 0.000974 0.001032 0.001098 0.001171 0.001250 0.001341
2025-09-28 0.000867 0.000934 0.001007 0.001091 0.001188 0.001295 0.001425
2025-10-05 0.000805 0.000878 0.000959 0.001054 0.001166 0.001294 0.001453
2025-10-12 0.000773 0.000853 0.000942 0.001051 0.001181 0.001333 0.001529
2025-10-19 0.000747 0.000832 0.000928 0.001048 0.001195 0.001370 0.001602
2025-10-26 0.000720 0.000809 0.000911 0.001040 0.001200 0.001396 0.001662
2025-11-02 0.000702 0.000795 0.000903 0.001042 0.001217 0.001436 0.001741
2025-11-09 0.000680 0.000774 0.000886 0.001031 0.001217 0.001454 0.001790
2025-11-16 0.000659 0.000755 0.000870 0.001020 0.001216 0.001469 0.001837
2025-11-23 0.000653 0.000753 0.000874 0.001035 0.001248 0.001530 0.001950
2025-11-30 0.000642 0.000745 0.000870 0.001039 0.001266 0.001571 0.002037
2025-12-07 0.000625 0.000728 0.000856 0.001029 0.001264 0.001587 0.002088
2025-12-14 0.000606 0.000710 0.000838 0.001014 0.001255 0.001591 0.002124
2025-12-21 0.000592 0.000697 0.000827 0.001007 0.001258 0.001612 0.002185
2025-12-28 0.000568 0.000670 0.000798 0.000974 0.001222 0.001575 0.002152
2026-01-04 0.000558 0.000661 0.000790 0.000971 0.001229 0.001600 0.002220
2026-01-11 0.000548 0.000652 0.000783 0.000969 0.001235 0.001625 0.002290
2026-01-18 0.000537 0.000641 0.000773 0.000962 0.001234 0.001639 0.002342
2026-01-25 0.000530 0.000635 0.000770 0.000963 0.001246 0.001673 0.002430
2026-02-01 0.000519 0.000624 0.000759 0.000953 0.001241 0.001680 0.002471
2026-02-08 0.000509 0.000613 0.000748 0.000944 0.001236 0.001686 0.002511
2026-02-15 0.000507 0.000614 0.000753 0.000957 0.001266 0.001750 0.002662